JANUARY 16, 2006

ISSUE 1098

ORANGE FORECAST DOWN

USDA has announced that the U.S. all orange forecast for the 2005-06 season is 9.22 million tons, down 2 percent from the December forecast but 1 percent above last season's final total of 9.11 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast, at 158 million boxes (7.11 million tons), is down 2 percent from the previous forecast but up 6 percent from the 2004-05 crop.

Early, midseason, and navel varieties are forecast at 80.0 million boxes (3.60 million tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but 1 percent above last season's final figure. The Florida Valencia forecast is reduced by 4 million boxes to 78.0 million boxes (3.51 million tons), down 5 percent from the previous forecast but up 11 percent from last season's final utilization. For both Valencia and early-midseason crops, projected fruit sizes will be smaller than any of the previous 10 years, and fruit drop will be above average.